FK Sabail vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
31
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
SEB
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
SEB
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 0
BOH
17%
20%
64%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
SEB
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 2
FKQ
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
NPA
0 - 0
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 1
FCK
79%
14%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FCK
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCK
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |