Səbail II vs Neftçi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
11º
6º
59
1º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Səbail II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SFK
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 6
TUR
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FFK
5 - 0
SFK
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
NEF
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SFK
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NEF
2 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ENE
4 - 1
NEF
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
NEF
2 - 3
ZAQ
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MOI
1 - 1
NEF
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
ZIK
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |