Səbail II vs Qaradağ Lökbatan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
11º
6º
41
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Səbail II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 0
ENE
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOI
3 - 1
SFK
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 2
ARA
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SFK
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Qaradağ Lökbatan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ENE
0 - 2
FKQ
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 0
MOI
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FKQ
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 1
FKQ
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |