Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Sport Sébaco vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
WAL
2 - 3
CDS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
RSA
1 - 1
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
2 - 1
DEP
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
CDS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
DIR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
EST
3 - 2
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
CDS
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |