Unión Club vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AST
1 - 0
SIE
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
GIM
2 - 1
AST
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
AST
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAY
0 - 1
AST
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
AST
1 - 0
PIL
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
NAV
4 - 0
GIM
56%
24%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
OVI
2 - 0
NAV
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAV
63%
23%
14%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
NAV
2 - 1
CAY
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAV
1 - 0
OVI
22%
27%
51%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +1 |