SDOUC vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDOUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ENS
0 - 2
SDO
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SDO
2 - 1
DEZ
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JON
2 - 3
SDO
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SDO
1 - 4
DEB
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SDO
2 - 1
ALV
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 3
JON
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEB
3 - 2
ACH
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUB
0 - 3
ACH
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACH
7 - 0
GLA
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +4 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 7
GER
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |