SDEFA vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDEFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PIE
3 - 0
SDE
82%
14%
4%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 2
SDE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SDE
1 - 3
CAP
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
SDE
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SDE
0 - 1
MAR
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
0 - 0
LOU
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 1
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 2
TAM
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAU
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
PAU
0 - 2
JEA
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |