SDEFA vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDEFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
SDE
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SDE
0 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 2
SDE
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SDE
3 - 3
ASS
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
JEA
1 - 0
SDE
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSB
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIE
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |