SD Castelo vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SDC
2 - 5
JUV
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SJR
0 - 0
SDC
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COV
3 - 0
SDC
69%
16%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 5
SDC
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SDC
1 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
PRO
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
JUV
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SJR
0 - 6
PRO
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PRO
4 - 0
OLI
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |