SD Castelo vs Oiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
4 - 1
OLI
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
5 - 1
SDC
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 1
GUI
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 4
TEB
26%
20%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDC
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OIE
2 - 1
GOI
25%
20%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
4 - 0
OIE
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEB
0 - 1
OIE
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
OIE
1 - 0
RAC
27%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
4 - 1
OIE
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |