Sdc A Capela vs Cebarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sdc A Capela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EUM
2 - 1
CAP
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
BAR
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EST
4 - 4
CAP
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
NAR
31%
23%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NOF
4 - 2
CAP
60%
18%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CEB
6 - 1
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEB
4 - 0
EUM
65%
17%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
CEB
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CEB
7 - 4
EST
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 3
CEB
33%
23%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |