SD Sparta vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CEC
0 - 5
SDS
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 1
SDS
34%
22%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
3 - 1
TOC
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
1 - 0
CEC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 2
SDS
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 0
TOC
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 0
CEC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEC
2 - 4
TOC
33%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 2
SDS
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |