SD Sparta vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
SDS
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TOC
2 - 0
SDS
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
SDS
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 3
GUR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 2
RIV
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALT
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
4DE
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 1
ALT
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |