SD San Martín Arena vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD San Martín Arena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FOC
3 - 3
SMA
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 0
LIE
38%
24%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
JDM
3 - 1
SMA
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BUE
3 - 0
SMA
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 3
BAR
4%
13%
83%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 0
PEÑ
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CAS
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RGA
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 2
PEÑ
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |