El Salvador SD vs Hernán Cortés Junquera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SDE
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SDE
3 - 1
PER
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
SDE
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SDE
2 - 4
GAN
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CUA
1 - 1
SDE
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés Junquera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HCJ
0 - 2
ZAR
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SJU
1 - 0
HCJ
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
HCJ
6 - 0
SAN
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PER
0 - 5
HCJ
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HCJ
2 - 0
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |