Ponferradina U19 vs Victoria CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
11º
9º
34
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
95% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
PON
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
UNI
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
PON
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ZAM
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REA
3 - 0
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
BUR
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIC
36%
23%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 0
ZON
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NUM
4 - 3
VIC
73%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 4
CDP
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |