Ponferradina U19 vs Valladolid U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
16º
16º
51
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
81.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
81.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
78% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BUR
2 - 2
PON
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PON
2 - 2
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
COL
2 - 2
PON
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PON
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valladolid U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
REA
3 - 1
INT
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
REA
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
REA
4 - 1
SAL
70%
16%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PUE
3 - 2
REA
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NUM
4 - 0
REA
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |