Ponferradina U19 vs Valladolid U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
58
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 3
PON
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
PUE
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PON
3 - 1
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
PON
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PON
4 - 2
BUR
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valladolid U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
CHA
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BCF
3 - 3
REA
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 4
REA
8%
16%
76%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
CDP
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |