Ponferradina U19 vs Puente Castro FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
34
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PON
3 - 1
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
PON
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PON
4 - 2
BUR
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
PON
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
SEG
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Puente Castro FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
4 - 0
CHA
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BCF
4 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 3
UNI
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 0
PUE
38%
24%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
CDP
48%
22%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |