SD Pol vs Sporting Pontenova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
POL
1 - 2
RIO
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TAB
0 - 2
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POL
1 - 0
FRI
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 1
POL
10%
17%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POL
1 - 0
CAT
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PON
7 - 0
MUI
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 6
PON
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PON
6 - 1
CAB
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 1
PON
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PON
3 - 1
ALF
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |