SD Pol vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
POL
5 - 3
ORD
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 3
POL
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
AES
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
LEM
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARZ
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ARZ
2 - 3
NEG
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 1
ARZ
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ARZ
3 - 3
SDO
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
ARZ
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |