O Val vs Ud Carral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
OVA
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
OVA
3 - 1
CLU
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SDC
4 - 1
OVA
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
OVA
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
OVA
1 - 2
RIB
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ud Carral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UDC
1 - 0
STA
23%
24%
54%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 0
UDC
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UDC
0 - 1
SPO
17%
21%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DUM
3 - 0
UDC
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UDC
1 - 4
DUB
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |