O Val vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 2
OVA
80%
15%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OVA
1 - 2
STA
18%
24%
59%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
OVA
66%
20%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OVA
0 - 2
CDC
10%
20%
70%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIV
5 - 0
OVA
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ART
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 2
ARZ
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
DUM
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UPH
3 - 3
ARZ
45%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
BER
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |