SD Negreira vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEG
0 - 1
SOM
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RCV
3 - 0
NEG
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RVI
3 - 3
NEG
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NEG
4 - 1
RCF
24%
26%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
EST
4 - 0
NEG
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
RCV
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 4
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALE
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |