SD Moraza vs Apurtuarte Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Moraza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SDS
0 - 2
SDM
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SDM
1 - 1
GAT
16%
21%
64%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 0
SDM
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SDM
0 - 1
CDE
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SDU
2 - 1
SDM
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Apurtuarte Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
APU
1 - 0
SOD
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RET
1 - 1
APU
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
APU
2 - 1
CDS
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 1
APU
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
APU
3 - 3
CDS
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |