Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 2-3
SD Logroñés vs CD Palencia Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SDL
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
SDL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TED
2 - 2
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDL
5 - 0
PRA
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
CD Palencia Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 3
CDP
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
LOJ
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
STM
4 - 1
CDP
14%
23%
64%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |