Sd Llano 2000 vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sd Llano 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TIN
2 - 1
L20
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
L20
3 - 3
PUM
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
L20
0 - 1
AST
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
L20
0 - 1
MOS
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SDN
0 - 4
L20
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 3
COL
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AND
2 - 0
UCO
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SCD
1 - 2
UCO
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 1
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TIN
0 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |