SD Juazeirense vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
SDJ
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
3 - 1
JEQ
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
JEQ
1 - 2
SDJ
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
YPI
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |