SD Juazeirense vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
3 - 1
JEQ
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
JEQ
1 - 2
SDJ
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
GAL
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
SDJ
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
YPI
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
JEQ
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
JAC
3 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |