SD Juazeirense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
4 - 0
SDJ
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 0
SDJ
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 1
SDJ
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 1
BAH
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
7 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |