SD Juazeirense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 0
SDJ
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
SDJ
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
SDJ
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 3
VIT
13%
22%
66%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
COR
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |