SD Juazeirense vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
APA
2 - 1
SDJ
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
CRB
2 - 1
SDJ
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
SDJ
0 - 0
CRB
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 1
SDJ
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
APA
2 - 1
SDJ
43%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
APA
4 - 0
INT
79%
16%
6%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
APA
19%
24%
56%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
APA
2 - 0
PPE
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |