Gernika B vs Otxarkoaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gernika B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IUR
3 - 0
GER
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SDB
2 - 1
GER
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
SDE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDE
1 - 2
GER
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Otxarkoaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CDO
0 - 0
CDP
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CDO
0 - 4
CDS
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |