Gernika B vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gernika B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
DSJ
3 - 0
GER
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
UCD
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CDG
1 - 2
GER
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GER
1 - 3
CDP
34%
25%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 1
GER
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 1
IUR
42%
27%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CDD
3 - 0
SDB
55%
22%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CDD
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
AKE
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDO
2 - 2
CDD
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |