SD Formentera vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 0
SDF
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SDF
0 - 1
CFB
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
SDF
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SDF
3 - 1
HUE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NUM
1 - 0
CFB
75%
18%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HUE
2 - 2
NUM
13%
24%
63%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NUM
3 - 0
EJE
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PXD
1 - 1
NUM
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 0
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |