SD Formentera vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 1
SDF
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDF
0 - 0
SAN
30%
28%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SDF
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SDF
1 - 2
PEÑ
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SDF
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
FER
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
CLL
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
MER
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |