SD Formentera vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
56%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
SDF
14%
23%
63%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
SDF
45%
28%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 3
SDF
19%
25%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 1
CFP
75%
18%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SDF
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
LOR
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROD
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |