Cirkulane vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
12º
12º
10
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirkulane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VID
2 - 0
SDC
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 2
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DOB
0 - 1
SDC
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 0
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
0 - 0
LJU
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 5
LJU
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ZAV
0 - 1
SMA
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 7
POD
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
SMA
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 3
TOL
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |