Cirkulane vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
12º
12º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirkulane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
SDC
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 0
DRA
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 2
SMA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VID
2 - 0
SDC
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 2
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
LJU
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAV
1 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
6 - 1
POD
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
TOL
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 0
TOL
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |