Cirkulane vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
12º
12º
8
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirkulane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 2
SMA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VID
2 - 0
SDC
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 2
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DOB
0 - 1
SDC
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 0
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 6
LJU
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZAV
5 - 0
DRA
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 1
POD
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
6 - 2
DRA
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 1
TOL
8%
15%
77%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |