SD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 1
MEL
79%
12%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
EME
1 - 3
SDC
38%
21%
42%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 4
UDE
74%
14%
12%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ILI
3 - 0
SDC
40%
21%
39%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SDC
4 - 0
ALG
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 2
EME
84%
10%
7%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
UDE
4 - 2
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 0
ILI
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ALG
5 - 3
RJA
60%
19%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
4 - 0
REC
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |