SD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RCF
2 - 2
SDC
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 1
RAC
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
JFC
3 - 0
SDC
62%
19%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 3
CUL
70%
17%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RAC
1 - 4
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
HER
3 - 0
CUL
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
5 - 0
HER
68%
16%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
HER
4 - 3
BET
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |