SD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 1
SDC
51%
23%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 0
ARE
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 1
SPO
45%
22%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
SDC
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
CUL
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
HER
3 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |