SD Ceuta vs Español de Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LCF
3 - 1
SDC
53%
22%
26%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
SDC
2 - 1
MEL
47%
22%
31%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
AFC
1 - 2
SDC
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
SDC
5 - 1
UTA
87%
9%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
SDC
4 - 0
PES
89%
8%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Español de Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
EST
4 - 0
LCF
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
MEL
0 - 0
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
EST
2 - 1
AFC
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
EST
0 - 3
UTA
76%
14%
11%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
PES
3 - 0
EST
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |