Carcacia vs Sar Extramundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 2
SAL
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABA
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LUA
4 - 3
CAR
67%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sar Extramundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
5 - 1
MLL
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 1
URD
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 0
EXT
38%
23%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 2
SAL
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 1
EXT
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |