SD Borja vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SDB
16%
21%
62%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SDB
2 - 1
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
0 - 1
SDB
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SDB
4 - 1
CFB
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
SDB
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 2
CFH
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CDM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CFB
3 - 2
CAL
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |