SD Borja vs Alcolea CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PED
0 - 2
SDB
10%
18%
72%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SDB
1 - 0
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
SDB
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDB
1 - 2
UDC
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 1
SDB
19%
22%
60%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 3
TAM
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 4
CFA
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
OLI
19%
22%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |