SD Becerrea vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Becerrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 3
BEC
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 2
BEC
22%
20%
57%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BEC
1 - 1
SRO
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
6 - 0
BEC
14%
17%
70%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BEC
6 - 1
INC
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SLU
5 - 0
ANT
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
SLU
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 2
FER
21%
21%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 3
SLU
69%
18%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 1
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |