SD Basurto vs Gernika B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Basurto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SDU
2 - 2
SDB
53%
24%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SDB
1 - 2
SDS
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CLU
2 - 2
SDB
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SDB
1 - 2
RET
44%
25%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DEU
2 - 2
SDB
64%
22%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gernika B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
SDE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDE
1 - 2
GER
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CDS
0 - 0
GER
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 1
GAL
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |