Atl. Nacional vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DPB
3 - 0
NAC
9%
17%
74%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
NAC
34%
31%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
SMI
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AJU
1 - 3
SMI
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 2
CHO
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
SMI
20%
26%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |